Bottom up scenario development and integrated modelling to inform landscape and seascape governance in Minami Sanriku town, northern Japan

We attempt a bottom-up approach to developing NFF-based localized future scenarios up to 2050 that capture these local concerns and efforts. Our exercise started with interpreting the Ramsar Site Management Plan (2022) from the NFF lens, followed by a stakeholder workshop in 2024 to flesh out multiple future scenarios. A spatially-explicit presentation of each scenario is under preparation, which will then be used for modelling future biodiversity and ecosystem services up to 2050. Another key feature is a local stakeholder platform, where our research outcomes will be shared and stakeholder feedbacks will be used to further optimize scenarios and modelling. Through this feedback loop, we aim to inform stronger landscape and seascape governance from ridge to reef in Minami-Sanriku Town.