Scenario analysis

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Peer-reviewed Article
In Sustainability Science
Author:
Keiko
Hori
Shizuka
Hashimoto
Takanori
Matsui
Rumana
Akter
This study develops a projection model of future population distribution on the basis of Japan’s current depopulation trend and applies this model to scenario analyses that assume population compactification and dispersion. The model enables a description of population migration at two levels. First, municipal populations are projected using the...
Peer-reviewed Article
In Applied Energy
Author:
Kaoru
TACHIIRI
Ken'ichi
MATSUMOTO
This study evaluates the effect of climate uncertainties on the transformations in the global energy system needed for realizing mitigation targets in the long term. Climate uncertainties affect the amount of allowable emissions from human activities that are consistent with a given climate target, and, thus, the range of necessary energy...