A review of scenario analysis-based biodiversity/ecosystem services (BES) research in urban area

Event: The 7th International EcoSummit Congress- EcoSummit 2024
Date: Henan, China, 14-19 December 2024.
Presentation
cover image

The scenario analysis has emerged as indispensable tool to envision the future conditions of biodiversity and ecosystem services (BES). The unprecedent urban expansion worldwide is expected to degrade the biodiversity and ecosystem services support local livelihoods, provide food, and enhance equity and human well-being. Therefore, it is crucial to understand the potential states and future trends in urban ecosystems so as to provide useful information for social-ecological system management. 

 

This research presents a systematic literature review of scenario analysis-based biodiversity and ecosystem services (BES) research from Urban areas. The study aims to (1) to explore research progress and limitations on scenario analysis used in Biodiversity ecosystem services (BES) studies, including identify scenario objectives, attributes, influential drivers, choices of ecosystem services or biodiversity, number of alternative futures and temporal horizons for scenario deployment; and (2) synthesize the main findings and providing a comprehensive perspective on how to improve urban planning and management to achieve global restoration targets. 

 

We are adopting a systematic review procedure and identified 156 relevant articles from SCOPUS. The most often examined region were East Asia (46%), Europe (24%), and North America (16%). Among the counties, China (67), the United States of America (10), and Italy (10) were most examined. We found that 67% articles were focus on ecosystem service research, about 16% of studies towards biodiversity issue and 17% of mix (BES) type. The further attempts will conduct to clarify the scenario type, BES assessment model type, scenario drivers, and how impacts of multiple influential drivers impact on BES. 

Author:
Peihao
Song
Shidong
Ge
Date:
Topic: