Press Release

IGES organises the “Second Workshop on Scenarios and Modelling for IPBES assessments”

at IGES Hayama Headquarters, Kanagawa, Japan on 15-17 November 2016
4 November 2016

IGES will organise the “Second Workshop on Scenarios and Modelling for IPBES assessments” at the Shonan Kokusaimura Village Center and the IGES Hayama Headquarters, Kanagawa, Japan on 15-17 November 2016, together with IPBES-TSU Scenarios and Modelling, the Ministry of the Environment of Japan, IPBES Deliverable 3c expert team, IPBES Secretariat and TSU for Asia-Pacific Assessment.

Background

In its 4th meeting, the IPBES Plenary mandated the expert group of Deliverable 3c on scenarios and models of biodiversity and ecosystem services (supported by the IPBES Technical Support Unit on scenarios and models) to support further work on scenarios and models within IPBES and to facilitate the provision of advice to the IPBES expert teams (decision IPBES-4/1, section V).

The assessment of scenarios and modelling studies for the IPBES regional (Deliverable 2b), land degradation (Deliverable 3b), and Global Assessment (Deliverable 2c) assessments are concentrated in Chapters 5, 7 and 5 respectively. This part of the assessment is supported by the expert group on scenarios and modelling (IPBES Deliverable 3c; see decision IPBES-4/1, section V).

A first joint meeting for CLAs and Young Fellows of Chapter 5 of the Regional Assessments (RAs) and Chapter 7 of the Land Degradation and Restoration Assessment (LDR), was organised in Bilthoven, the Netherlands on 25-27 January 2016. The workshop focused on sharing experiences to set up the chapter on scenarios, discuss the main aims of the chapters in view of the whole assessment, look into ways to find relevant studies, and to summarise the results from these studies in a structured way. A framework to summarise scenario studies was jointly developed. The framework was used and improved in developing the First Order Drafts (FODs) of the assessments, which are now in review.

The Second Workshop on Scenarios and Modelling for IPBES will be organised and hosted by the Institute for Global Environmental Strategies (IGES), Japan and co-organised with the Technical Support Unit (TSU) on Scenarios and Models (PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency), together with other collaborating bodies, in November 2016. This Workshop will be supported by the Japan Biodiversity Fund (JBF) through the Secretariat of the Convention on Biological Diversity (SCBD).

Objectives of the workshop

The main aims of the second workshop are:

  1. Discuss the main findings and describe the future of biodiversity and ecosystem services, as drawn from the First Order Drafts (FODs) of the assessment chapters.
  2. Identify similarities and differences among different Scenarios and Models by using the jointly developed analytical framework.
  3. Share experiences of working with the analytical framework and synthesising available literature during the writing process of the FODs.
  4. Identify common grounds and consistency among the scenario chapters to provide inputs for the Global Assessment.
  5. Discussion on policy relevance at local, national and global scales, and also on the need for policy tools and data for the assessment process.

Invitees to the workshop include coordinating lead authors (CLAs), lead authors (LAs), contributing authors (CAs), and fellows of Chapter 5 of the Regional Assessments, Chapter 7 of the Land Degradation and Restoration Assessment (LDR) and Chapter 4 and 5 of the Global Assessment. The main objective of the meeting is to take further steps in analysing the results of scenario studies, by making use of the FODs, comments from reviewers of the FODs, results of the IPBES methodological assessment on scenarios and models, and drawing on the experience of scenario experts attending the workshop.

Building on the intended outcomes and objectives of the IPBES work programme, as outlined in its detailed description (see decision IPBES-4/1, section V), this workshop on scenarios and modelling for IPBES assessments has been designed to fulfil five main objectives.

Organisers and partners

a) Organisers:
IGES (Institute for Global Environmental Strategies) and IPBES TSU on Scenarios and Models

b) Co-organisers and collaborators:
Ministry of the Environment of Japan (MOEJ), Secretariat of the Convention on Biological Diversity (SCBD), Deliverable 3c expert team, IPBES Secretariat and IPBES-TSU for the Asia-Pacific Regional Assessment

Event Schedule

(1) Workshop(*): three days between Tuesday 15 to Thursday 17 November 2016
(2) Site visit: Friday 18 November 2016

*: The introductory part of the workshop in the morning of 15 November will be open to public, and the provisional programme is as follows:

15 November 2016 (Venue: Shonan Kokusaimura Village Center) 
08:30 Registration
09:00     Opening session (Remarks from IGES, MOEJ and CBD Secretariat)
09:30 Introduction to the workshop objectives, organisation of the work and expected outcomes
(IPBES-TSU for Scenarios and Models)    
10:00 Presentation on findings of the methodological assessment of scenarios and models of relevance to the aims of this workshop (Simon Ferrier, CSIRO, Australia)
10:15 Findings of the first workshop scenarios and modelling for IPBES assessments, the Netherlands, January 2016 & the Joint Regional and LDR second order meeting (IPBES-TSU for Scenarios and Models)
10:30 Group photo
Venue for the workshop
Inquiries

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